Can Saquon Barkley Possibly Succeed as a Rookie?

Saquon Barkley will make his Giants debut at rookie camp on Friday and Saturday. Here are a few bold predictions about what will happen: cheap nike nfl jerseys china

• We will hear that he looks great. Or “sharp,” because that’s the word us media types tend to use to describe rookies running around in compression shorts during noncontact practices.

• He will “say all the right things.”

• Head coach Pat Shurmur and others will tell us how excited they are about what Barkley brings to the Giants.

Rookie camp, after all, is a glorified debutante ball for a No. 2 overall pick like Barkley. It’s a chance to make a positive first impression and set the tone for a successful rookie season.

But what will a successful rookie season mean for Saquon Barkley, who comes at an extremely high cost—the Giants reportedly shunned trade offers for the second overall pick, according to Ryan Dunleavy of NJ Advance Media—nike nfl jerseys for cheap and with stratospheric expectations?

That’s easy, you say. A successful rookie season for a running back is all about the numbers.

Barkley can succeed by gaining about 1,300 yards from scrimmage, scoring a dozen touchdowns and adding around 50 catches. That production will win some games and also silence those Moneyballers that Giants general manager Dave Gettleman mocks by typing on his imaginary laptop, right?

Did you spot our trap with those numbers?nfl jerseys nike cheap

Those were Trent Richardson’s statistics from his rookie season, when he gained 1,317 yards from scrimmage in 2012 (950 rushing, 367 receiving), caught 51 passes and scored 12 total touchdowns. Richardson started regressing badly late in that season, was traded early the next year and hasn’t taken an NFL regular-season snap since 2014. Now he’s an all-time bust and a cautionary tale about drafting running backs too high.

Richardson averaged just 3.6 yards per carry as a rookie, a sign that his raw totals weren’t what they seemed to be. So, how about this as the definition of a successful rookie season: 1,300 scrimmage yards, some receiving value, double-digit touchdowns and 4.8 yards per carry? That’s a high-impact rookie season, isn’t it?

Those numbers come from Todd Gurley’s rookie year in 2015. Gurley, who the Rams selected at No. 10 overall that year, is no bust;nfl nike jersey cheap  heck, he was the Associated Press Offensive Player of the Year last season. But Gurley followed up his strong rookie season with a disappointing 885 rushing yards, 3.2 yards per carry and six touchdowns in 2016.

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